Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.000486 0.000544 0.000607 0.000683 0.000773 0.000875 0.001002
2025-01-19 0.000406 0.000485 0.000580 0.000707 0.000873 0.001088 0.001393
2025-01-26 0.000336 0.000419 0.000526 0.000678 0.000894 0.001201 0.001690
2025-02-02 0.000299 0.000386 0.000505 0.000683 0.000955 0.001375 0.002123
2025-02-09 0.000276 0.000367 0.000496 0.000701 0.001035 0.001596 0.002708
2025-02-16 0.000256 0.000350 0.000487 0.000716 0.001110 0.001825 0.003404
2025-02-23 0.000243 0.000340 0.000487 0.000741 0.001209 0.002124 0.004389
2025-03-02 0.000228 0.000324 0.000476 0.000748 0.001273 0.002374 0.005409
2025-03-09 0.000211 0.000305 0.000456 0.000735 0.001296 0.002542 0.006319
2025-03-16 0.000199 0.000292 0.000445 0.000737 0.001349 0.002799 0.007687
2025-03-23 0.000190 0.000283 0.000439 0.000746 0.001418 0.003116 0.009556
2025-03-30 0.000182 0.000276 0.000436 0.000761 0.001505 0.003520 0.012229
2025-04-06 0.000171 0.000261 0.000419 0.000747 0.001527 0.003765 0.014647
2025-04-13 0.000165 0.000256 0.000420 0.000772 0.001652 0.004406 0.020497
2025-04-20 0.000153 0.000239 0.000396 0.000739 0.001621 0.004510 0.023261
2025-04-27 0.000146 0.000232 0.000390 0.000744 0.001695 0.005043 0.030991
2025-05-04 0.000142 0.000228 0.000390 0.000765 0.001819 0.005872 0.045457
2025-05-11 0.000137 0.000223 0.000388 0.000781 0.001937 0.006774 0.067618
2025-05-18 0.000134 0.000221 0.000392 0.000810 0.002106 0.008104 0.113979
2025-05-25 0.000130 0.000216 0.000387 0.000818 0.002207 0.009191 0.179030
2025-06-01 0.000123 0.000207 0.000375 0.000803 0.002225 0.009809 0.248945
2025-06-08 0.000119 0.000201 0.000369 0.000806 0.002309 0.010984 0.417123
2025-06-15 0.000116 0.000197 0.000366 0.000815 0.002425 0.012581 0.829413